UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lewis vs Mathlin

1,552

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lewis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Lewis
WILL WIN

1,383

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lewis
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 7.8 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Robert Mathlin
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Lewis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mathlin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lewis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lewis is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lewis has a very good chance of winning by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Lewis is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mathlin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lewis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robert
Mathlin
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mathlin has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Mathlin is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Mathlin has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lewis 7.8
fighter Mathlin 6.9
Great submissions by Lewis
Round 2 Aug 04, 2012 vs Sekan
Round 1 Jun 30, 2012 vs Mathlin
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Redmond

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lewis 7.6
fighter Mathlin 6.9
Fast finishes by Lewis
413 seconds Aug 04, 2012 vs Sekan
91 seconds Jun 30, 2012 vs Mathlin
29 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Redmond
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5421,460
1,5811,421
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lewis
legend Mathlin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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