UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Akhmedov vs de Oliveira Perpetuo

1,854

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Akhmedov

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
67% chance Akhmedov
WILL WIN

1,734

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Omari Akhmedov
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Thiago de Oliveira Perpetuo
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Akhmedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against de Oliveira Perpetuo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Omari
Akhmedov
In 7:04, how much damage will he do? Akhmedov de Oliveira Perpetuo
Significant Strikes34
Akhmedov's average striking offense is matched by de Oliveira Perpetuo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:04
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Akhmedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against de Oliveira Perpetuo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:04
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Akhmedov has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Akhmedov has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Akhmedov is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
de Oliveira Perpetuo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Akhmedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
de Oliveira Perpetuo
In 7:04, how much damage will he do? de Oliveira Perpetuo Akhmedov
Significant Strikes37
de Oliveira Perpetuo's good striking offense may be a factor against Akhmedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:04
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
de Oliveira Perpetuo's average takedown offense is matched by Akhmedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
de Oliveira Perpetuo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
de Oliveira Perpetuo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
de Oliveira Perpetuo is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Akhmedov 8.4
fighter de Oliveira Perpetuo 8.6
Great striking by de Oliveira Perpetuo
68 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Mafra

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Akhmedov 8.7
fighter de Oliveira Perpetuo 8.6
Great takedowns by Akhmedov
1 takedown Nov 09, 2013 vs de Oliveira Perpetuo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Akhmedov 7.8
fighter de Oliveira Perpetuo 8.2
Great knockouts by de Oliveira Perpetuo
Round 3 Jun 23, 2012 vs Mafra
Round 3 Jul 16, 2011 vs Castaldelli Filho
Round 1 Oct 03, 2009 vs Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Akhmedov 7.5
fighter de Oliveira Perpetuo 6.5
Great submissions by Akhmedov
Round 1 May 11, 2013 vs Nascimento
Round 1 Oct 21, 2012 vs Karpov
Round 1 May 09, 2012 vs Boyko

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Akhmedov 8.7
fighter de Oliveira Perpetuo 7.3
Fast finishes by Akhmedov
211 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs de Oliveira Perpetuo
53 seconds May 11, 2013 vs Nascimento
146 seconds Dec 22, 2012 vs Haratyk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 9, 2013UFC Fight Night 32
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,8341,820
1,8821,772
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Akhmedov
legend de Oliveira Perpetuo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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