UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Akhmedov vs Moraes

1,854

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Akhmedov

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Akhmedov
WILL WIN

1,791

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Omari Akhmedov
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Sergio Moraes
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Akhmedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Omari
Akhmedov
In 8:48, how much damage will he do? Akhmedov Moraes
Significant Strikes39
Akhmedov's average striking offense is matched by Moraes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:48
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Akhmedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Moraes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:48
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Akhmedov has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Akhmedov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Akhmedov is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Moraes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Akhmedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergio
Moraes
In 8:48, how much damage will he do? Moraes Akhmedov
Significant Strikes40
Moraes's average striking offense is matched by Akhmedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:48
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Moraes's average takedown offense is matched by Akhmedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraes is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraes has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Moraes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Akhmedov 8.4
fighter Moraes 8.3
Great striking by Akhmedov
14 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs de Oliveira Perpetuo

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Akhmedov 8.7
fighter Moraes 8.6
Great takedowns by Akhmedov
1 takedown Nov 09, 2013 vs de Oliveira Perpetuo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Akhmedov 7.8
fighter Moraes 6.5
Great knockouts by Akhmedov
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs de Oliveira Perpetuo
Round 1 Dec 22, 2012 vs Haratyk
Round 1 Apr 28, 2012 vs Isakov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Akhmedov 7.5
fighter Moraes 8.8
Great submissions by Moraes
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Magny
Round 3 Oct 13, 2012 vs Forte
Round 1 Sep 29, 2007 vs Santos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Akhmedov 8.7
fighter Moraes 8.1
Fast finishes by Akhmedov
211 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs de Oliveira Perpetuo
53 seconds May 11, 2013 vs Nascimento
146 seconds Dec 22, 2012 vs Haratyk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 10, 2015UFC Fight Night 80
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Akhmedov
legend Moraes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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