UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Gastelum

1,450

CageRank

WINNER
Gastelum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
95% chance Gastelum
WILL WIN

1,949

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kelvin Gastelum
Much better submission defense 8.2 vs 6.8 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Jose Sanchez
From what we can tell, Kelvin Gastelum dominates Jose Sanchez in every way.
Gastelum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kelvin
Gastelum
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gastelum has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gastelum has a chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Gastelum has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gastelum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Sanchez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gastelum 7.6
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great knockouts by Gastelum
Round 1 Jul 20, 2012 vs Ashford
Round 2 Oct 22, 2011 vs Gentile
Round 3 Jul 16, 2011 vs Moguel

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gastelum 7.5
fighter Sanchez 7.2
Great submissions by Gastelum
Round 1 Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Smallwood
Round 2 Dec 11, 2010 vs Sanchez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gastelum 7.9
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Fast finishes by Gastelum
146 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
746 seconds Jul 16, 2011 vs Moguel
398 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Sanchez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 11, 2010LAF 1
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,4501,550
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gastelum
legend Sanchez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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