UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hovell vs Wilkinson

1,498

CageRank

WINNER
Wilkinson

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Wilkinson
WILL WIN

1,728

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Wilkinson
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.1 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Ryan Hovell
Much heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Wilkinson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hovell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Wilkinson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wilkinson is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Wilkinson has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Wilkinson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Hovell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wilkinson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Hovell
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hovell is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Hovell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Hovell is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Wilkinson 7.7
fighter Hovell 7.5
Great submissions by Wilkinson
Round 3 Mar 24, 2012 vs Greenwood
Round 2 Feb 11, 2012 vs Derbyshire
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Hovell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Wilkinson 7.6
fighter Hovell 7.5
Fast finishes by Wilkinson
29 seconds Sep 15, 2012 vs Hatton
354 seconds Feb 11, 2012 vs Derbyshire
122 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Hovell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 19, 2011TC 44 - Total Combat 44
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5001,504
1,4511,553
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Wilkinson
legend Hovell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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