UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Correia vs Rousey

1,816

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
82% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 6.7 More than 45% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 6.5 Around 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Bethe Correia
From what we can tell, Ronda Rousey dominates Bethe Correia in every way.
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Correia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 3:07, how much damage will she do? Rousey Correia
Significant Strikes15
Rousey's average striking offense is matched by Correia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 28 Significant Strikes in 3:07
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Correia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:07
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Correia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bethe
Correia
In 3:07, how much damage will he do? Correia Rousey
Significant Strikes14
Correia's average striking offense is matched by Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 28 Significant Strikes in 3:07
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Correia's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Correia is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Correia is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Correia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter Correia 8.5
Great striking by Rousey
40 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
3 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
8 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter Correia 8.5
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Correia 6.9
Great knockouts by Rousey
Round 1 Aug 01, 2015 vs Correia
Round 1 Jul 05, 2014 vs Davis
Round 1 Feb 22, 2014 vs McMann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Correia 6.5
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Correia 6.7
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 1, 2015UFC 190
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Correia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
It is unbelievable that I know there is one person that would beat ronda rousey or at least give her the fight of her life if she was old enough. She is only fifteen but if she kept on training then she would beat rousey. It is unbelievable to see her, she reminds me of rousey, everytime I see her. She is so beautifle beyond mesure of what anyone could ever think of and everytime she fights, it shows talent but heart. I am undefeated but I only lost one fight, that wasn't in sparring but that was not telling her that she is beautiful and asking her out. They say that the only fight you can lose is in the cage but its not, if you can't even go up to the girl you like and at least ask her out then why are you living if your not truly living because you not trying to go to be your best and try to take a risk. Why, why. I dare someone to try to do something that is out of their comfort zone. Please. Try. I believe in someone who trys to do something and it doesn't matter if you won or lost because the real win is truly defined if you tried.
ronda rousey will win, she will. Rousey is to good. Rousey is the best in her division and would beat dillashaw.
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