UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Correia vs Baszler

1,816

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Correia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
55% chance Correia
WILL WIN

1,779

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bethe Correia
Much heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.0 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Shayna Baszler
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 6.5 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 170 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 153 lbs vs 134 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Correia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baszler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bethe
Correia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Correia Baszler
Significant Strikes81
Correia's average striking offense may be a factor against Baszler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Correia's average takedown offense is matched by Baszler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Correia is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Correia is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Correia has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Baszler on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Correia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shayna
Baszler
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Baszler Correia
Significant Strikes68
Baszler's average striking offense is matched by Correia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Baszler's average takedown offense is matched by Correia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baszler is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Baszler has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Baszler is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Correia 8.5
fighter Baszler 8.4
Great striking by Correia
65 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Kedzie

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Correia 8.5
fighter Baszler 8.0
Great takedowns by Correia
1 takedown Dec 07, 2013 vs Kedzie

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Correia 6.9
fighter Baszler 6.0
Great knockouts by Correia
Round 2 Aug 30, 2014 vs Baszler
Round 2 Apr 12, 2013 vs Karoline Nascimento

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Correia 6.5
fighter Baszler 8.8
Great submissions by Baszler
Round 2 Oct 06, 2012 vs D'alelio
Round 1 Jun 12, 2010 vs Jenkins
Round 1 Oct 04, 2006 vs Modafferi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Correia 6.7
fighter Baszler 8.3
Fast finishes by Baszler
337 seconds Oct 06, 2012 vs D'alelio
132 seconds Jun 12, 2010 vs Jenkins
68 seconds Oct 04, 2006 vs Modafferi
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 30, 2014UFC 177
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Correia
legend Baszler
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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