UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Correia vs Pennington

1,816

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Correia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance Correia
WILL WIN

1,667

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bethe Correia
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Raquel Pennington
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 170 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Correia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pennington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bethe
Correia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Correia Pennington
Significant Strikes71
Correia's average striking offense is matched by Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Correia's average takedown offense is matched by Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Correia is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Correia is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Correia has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Pennington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Correia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raquel
Pennington
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pennington Correia
Significant Strikes72
Pennington's average striking offense is matched by Correia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Pennington's average takedown offense is matched by Correia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pennington is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pennington is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Pennington is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Correia 8.5
fighter Pennington 8.5
Great striking by Pennington
80 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Modafferi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Correia 8.5
fighter Pennington 8.5
Great takedowns by Pennington
1 takedown Nov 30, 2013 vs Modafferi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Correia 6.9
fighter Pennington 6.5
Great knockouts by Correia
Round 2 Aug 30, 2014 vs Baszler
Round 2 Apr 12, 2013 vs Karoline Nascimento

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Correia 6.5
fighter Pennington 7.3
Great submissions by Pennington
Round 2 Aug 12, 2011 vs Denny
Round 1 Jan 21, 2011 vs Aldrich
Round 1 Jun 20, 2009 vs Hampton

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Correia 6.7
fighter Pennington 7.3
Fast finishes by Pennington
232 seconds Sep 08, 2012 vs Pa'aluhi
419 seconds Aug 12, 2011 vs Denny
104 seconds Jan 21, 2011 vs Aldrich
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 16, 2016UFC on Fox 19
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Correia
legend Pennington
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus