UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herrera vs Luque

1,642

CageRank

WINNER
Luque

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Luque
WILL WIN

1,728

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vicente Luque
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 26 years vs 28 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Alvaro Herrera
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Luque on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herrera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vicente
Luque
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Luque has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Luque is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Luque is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Herrera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Luque’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alvaro
Herrera
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herrera is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herrera has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Herrera is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Luque 7.3
fighter Herrera 6.8
Great knockouts by Luque
Round 1 May 10, 2013 vs Lisboa
Round 1 Apr 28, 2012 vs Santos
Round 1 Jun 27, 2009 vs Playboy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Luque 7.3
fighter Herrera 7.2
Great submissions by Luque
Round 2 Mar 09, 2013 vs Moura
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Almeida
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Borges dos Santos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Luque 7.9
fighter Herrera 7.7
Fast finishes by Luque
367 seconds Mar 09, 2013 vs Moura
205 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Almeida
172 seconds Jun 27, 2009 vs Playboy
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 7, 2016UFC Fight Night 90
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Luque
legend Herrera
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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