UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Di Chirico vs Natal

1,752

CageRank

WINNER
Natal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Natal
WILL WIN

1,906

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael Natal
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Alessio Di Chirico
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 27 years vs 34 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Natal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Di Chirico’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
Natal
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Natal is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Natal has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Natal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Di Chirico on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Natal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alessio
Di Chirico
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Di Chirico is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Di Chirico is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Di Chirico is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Natal 6.8
fighter Di Chirico 7.6
Great knockouts by Di Chirico
Round 2 Jan 30, 2015 vs Kowalski
Round 1 Oct 12, 2013 vs Magro
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs D'Angelo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Natal 7.6
fighter Di Chirico 7.6
Great submissions by Di Chirico
Round 1 May 31, 2013 vs Medvedev
Round 1 Feb 24, 2012 vs Saidi
Round 1 Dec 09, 2011 vs Anoir

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Natal 7.5
fighter Di Chirico 8.2
Fast finishes by Di Chirico
255 seconds Oct 12, 2013 vs Magro
85 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs D'Angelo
175 seconds Dec 09, 2011 vs Anoir
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Natal
legend Di Chirico
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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