UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Allen vs Melendez

1,733

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
95% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.3 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Arnold Allen
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 24 years vs 36 years Around 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Allen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Allen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Arnold
Allen
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Allen has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Allen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Allen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Allen 8.1
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Allen 7.4
Great submissions by Allen
Round 3 Jun 20, 2015 vs Omer
Round 2 Oct 05, 2013 vs Williams
Round 1 Jul 06, 2013 vs Green

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Allen 8.0
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Allen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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