UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Holbrook vs Gillespie

1,654

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Holbrook

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Holbrook
WILL WIN

1,592

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andrew Holbrook
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Gregor Gillespie
Significantly heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Holbrook on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gillespie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrew
Holbrook
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holbrook has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Holbrook has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Holbrook has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Gillespie on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holbrook’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gregor
Gillespie
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gillespie has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gillespie has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Gillespie has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Holbrook 7.0
fighter Gillespie 7.6
Great knockouts by Gillespie
Round 1 Mar 04, 2016 vs Mariscal
Round 1 Jan 23, 2015 vs Stewart
Round 1 Jan 24, 2014 vs Gaudreau

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holbrook 8.5
fighter Gillespie 7.6
Great submissions by Holbrook
Round 1 Oct 11, 2013 vs Huffman
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Miller
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Baldridge

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holbrook 8.2
fighter Gillespie 8.0
Fast finishes by Holbrook
194 seconds Oct 11, 2013 vs Huffman
189 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Miller
77 seconds Jul 31, 2010 vs Baldridge
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holbrook
legend Gillespie
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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