UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hernandez vs Hawkins

1,744

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hernandez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Hernandez
WILL WIN

1,414

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Hernandez
Much heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 26 years vs 30 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.2 vs 7.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Jackson Hawkins
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Hernandez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hawkins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Hernandez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hernandez is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hernandez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Hernandez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Hawkins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hernandez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jackson
Hawkins
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hawkins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Hawkins has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Hawkins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hernandez 7.2
fighter Hawkins 7.0
Great submissions by Hernandez
Round 1 Jul 29, 2016 vs Pecero
Round 1 Sep 26, 2015 vs Sotelo
Round 2 May 05, 2012 vs Hawkins

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hernandez 7.2
fighter Hawkins 7.1
Fast finishes by Hernandez
42 seconds Mar 03, 2018 vs Dariush
179 seconds Sep 12, 2014 vs Walker
422 seconds May 05, 2012 vs Hawkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
DECX
1,5571,500
1,5991,458
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hernandez
legend Hawkins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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