UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Usman vs dos Anjos

1,722

CageRank

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
91% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.9 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.8 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Kamaru Usman
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Usman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Usman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kamaru
Usman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Usman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Usman is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Usman is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Usman 8.8
Great knockouts by Usman
Round 1 Jan 31, 2014 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Abdullah
Round 2 Nov 30, 2012 vs Glover

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Usman 6.8
Great submissions by dos Anjos
Round 1 May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Round 2 Aug 04, 2007 vs Cherman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Usman 7.8
Fast finishes by dos Anjos
100 seconds May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
59 seconds Jul 02, 2011 vs Sotiropoulos
570 seconds Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Usman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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