UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Usman vs Moraes

1,722

CageRank

WINNER
Moraes

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
60% chance Moraes
WILL WIN

1,791

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sergio Moraes
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Kamaru Usman
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.5 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Moraes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Usman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergio
Moraes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraes is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Moraes has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Moraes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Usman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kamaru
Usman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Usman has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Usman is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Usman is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Moraes 6.5
fighter Usman 8.8
Great knockouts by Usman
Round 1 Jan 31, 2014 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Abdullah
Round 2 Nov 30, 2012 vs Glover

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Moraes 8.8
fighter Usman 6.8
Great submissions by Moraes
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Magny
Round 3 Oct 13, 2012 vs Forte
Round 1 Sep 29, 2007 vs Santos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Moraes 8.1
fighter Usman 7.8
Fast finishes by Moraes
193 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Magny
103 seconds Mar 20, 2010 vs Morales
127 seconds Sep 29, 2007 vs Santos
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Moraes
legend Usman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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