UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Usman vs Strickland

1,722

CageRank

WINNER
Strickland

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Strickland
WILL WIN

2,048

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sean Strickland
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 26 years vs 28 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Kamaru Usman
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Strickland on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Usman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sean
Strickland
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Strickland has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Strickland has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Strickland has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Usman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Strickland’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kamaru
Usman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Usman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Usman is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Usman is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Strickland 8.2
fighter Usman 8.8
Great knockouts by Usman
Round 1 Jan 31, 2014 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Abdullah
Round 2 Nov 30, 2012 vs Glover

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Strickland 7.5
fighter Usman 6.8
Great submissions by Strickland
Round 1 Nov 25, 2010 vs Hawkey
Round 1 Oct 03, 2009 vs Wheeler
Round 2 Mar 22, 2008 vs Pottett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Strickland 8.6
fighter Usman 7.8
Fast finishes by Strickland
299 seconds Aug 29, 2013 vs Lagler
204 seconds Apr 26, 2012 vs Hunt
228 seconds Dec 17, 2011 vs Hunt
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Strickland
legend Usman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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