UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - de Padua vs Almeida

1,445

CageRank

WINNER
Almeida

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
95% chance Almeida
WILL WIN

1,963

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thomas Almeida
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.5 More than 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 6.8 More than 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 8.7 vs 6.9 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 7.4 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 26 years vs 34 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Jackson de Padua
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Almeida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against de Padua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thomas
Almeida
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Almeida has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Almeida is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Almeida is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
de Padua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Almeida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jackson
de Padua
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
de Padua is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
de Padua is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
de Padua is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Almeida 9.5
fighter de Padua 6.5
Great knockouts by Almeida
Round 1 Jul 13, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 04, 2013 vs Alexandre
Round 1 May 05, 2012 vs Pridonik

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Almeida 6.5
fighter de Padua 6.9
Great submissions by de Padua
Round 2 Aug 30, 2014 vs Lima Brito
Round 1 Dec 17, 2011 vs Lima Brito

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Almeida 8.8
fighter de Padua 6.8
Fast finishes by Almeida
271 seconds Dec 06, 2013 vs Pacurariu
166 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Silva
81 seconds May 05, 2012 vs Pridonik
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,4501,550
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Almeida
legend de Padua
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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