UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rodriguez vs Reneau

1,348

CageRank

WINNER
Reneau

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
83% chance Reneau
WILL WIN

1,623

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Marion Reneau
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 7.9 vs 6.7 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Leslie Rodriguez
Much younger 23 years vs 40 years Around 45% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Reneau on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rodriguez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marion
Reneau
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reneau has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Reneau has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Reneau is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Rodriguez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reneau’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Leslie
Rodriguez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Reneau 7.9
fighter Rodriguez 6.8
Great knockouts by Reneau
Round 1 Nov 14, 2013 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Oct 26, 2012 vs Reyes
Round 3 Mar 07, 2010 vs Castellanos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Reneau 7.1
fighter Rodriguez 6.8
Great submissions by Reneau
Round 1 Feb 22, 2015 vs Andrade
Round 1 Jul 25, 2014 vs Riordon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Reneau 7.9
fighter Rodriguez 6.8
Fast finishes by Reneau
84 seconds Nov 14, 2013 vs Rodriguez
10 seconds Oct 26, 2012 vs Reyes
698 seconds Mar 07, 2010 vs Castellanos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 14, 2013TPF 17
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,4131,543
1,3811,575
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Reneau
legend Rodriguez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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