UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Birch vs Kelly

1,512

CageRank

WINNER
Kelly

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Kelly
WILL WIN

1,781

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Kelly
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 7.9 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Chris Birch
From what we can tell, Daniel Kelly dominates Chris Birch in every way.
Kelly on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Birch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Kelly
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kelly has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Kelly has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Kelly has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Birch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kelly’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Birch
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Birch is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Birch has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Birch is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kelly 7.6
fighter Birch 6.8
Great knockouts by Kelly
Round 3 Mar 19, 2016 vs Carlos Jr.
Round 2 Aug 24, 2013 vs Bratovz
Round 2 Jul 22, 2006 vs Dallow

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kelly 8.0
fighter Birch 7.7
Great submissions by Kelly
Round 2 May 17, 2014 vs Kelleher
Round 1 May 10, 2013 vs Birch
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Robinson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kelly 8.1
fighter Birch 7.5
Fast finishes by Kelly
402 seconds Aug 24, 2013 vs Bratovz
216 seconds May 10, 2013 vs Birch
77 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Robinson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 10, 2013AFC 5
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
1,5411,663
1,5081,696
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kelly
legend Birch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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